College Football - Week 6

10/05/2025

Another hectic week of college football watching upsets galore and finally getting some answers.  Here's my update for the week:

Model Top 25 after Week 6:

  1. Ohio State
  2. Ole Miss
  3. Indiana
  4. Miami (FL)
  5. Oregon
  6. Texas A&M
  7. Missouri
  8. Alabama
  9. Texas Tech
  10. BYU
  11. Georgia Tech
  12. Oklahoma
  13. Tennessee
  14. Georgia
  15. Memphis
  16. LSU
  17. North Texas
  18. Arizona State
  19. Washington
  20. Navy
  21. USC
  22. Iowa State
  23. Vanderbilt
  24. Louisville
  25. Illinois

WHO IS ALIVE:

Even more group of five teams faced their third losses this year, which I believe is enough to eliminate them from the playoffs. Most of the power conference teams are still alive as mathematically possible conference champions, but there are some tough roads ahead for many. Here is who was eliminated this week and why:

  •  Rice (AAC), UTSA (AAC), UAB (AAC), Florida International (CUSA), Central Michigan (MAC), Ohio (MAC), Wyoming (MWC), Coastal Carolina (SBC) - All faced their third loss as a group of five program. No three loss group of five program will make the playoffs this season.

Now, let's take a look at who is still eligible, sorted by conference. Standings are sorted by conference standings but the overall records are in the parenthesis.

^ = one loss away from elimination
*=must win-out/win conference to make playoffs

American:

  1. Navy (5-0)
  2. Memphis (6-0)
  3. North Texas (5-0)
  4. South Florida (4-1)*
  5. Tulane (4-1)*
  6. East Carolina (3-2)^
  7. Temple (3-2)^

ACC:

  1. Virginia (5-1)
  2. Duke (4-2)*
  3. Georgia Tech (5-0)
  4. Miami (5-0)
  5. SMU (3-2)*
  6. Louisville (4-1)
  7. California (4-2)*
  8. Pittsburgh (3-2)*
  9. Stanford (2-3)*
  10. Virginia Tech (2-4)^
  11. NC State (4-2)*
  12. Syracuse (3-3)*
  13. Wake Forest (3-2)*
  14. Clemson (2-3)*
  15. North Carolina (2-3)*
  16. Florida State (3-2)
  17. Boston College (1-4)^

Big 12:

  1. BYU (5-0)
  2. Texas Tech (5-0)
  3. Arizona State (4-1)
  4. Cincinnati (4-1)
  5. Iowa State (5-1)
  6. Baylor (4-2)*
  7. Kansas (4-2)*
  8. Arizona (4-1)
  9. Houston (4-1)
  10. TCU (4-1)
  11. Utah (4-1)
  12. Kansas State (2-4)^
  13. UCF (3-2)*
  14. Oklahoma State (1-4)^
  15. Colorado (2-4)^
  16. West Virginia (2-4)^

Big Ten:

  1. Indiana (5-0)
  2. Ohio State (5-0)
  3. Oregon (5-0)
  4. Michigan (4-1)
  5. Illinois (5-1)
  6. USC (4-1)
  7. Washington (4-1)
  8. Northwestern (3-2)
  9. Maryland (4-1)
  10. Nebraska (4-1)
  11. Iowa (3-2)
  12. Minnesota (3-2)
  13. UCLA (1-4)^
  14. Michigan State (3-2)
  15. Penn State (3-2)
  16. Rutgers (3-2)
  17. Purdue (2-3)*
  18. Wisconsin (2-3)*

CUSA:

  1. Western Kentucky (5-1)*
  2. Louisiana Tech (4-1)*
  3. Kennesaw State (3-2)^
  4. New Mexico State (3-2)^

FBS Independents:

  1. UConn (4-2)^
  2. Notre Dame (3-2)^

MAC:

  1. Toledo (3-2)^

Mountain West:

  1. Fresno State (5-1)*
  2. UNLV (5-0)
  3. San Diego State (4-1)*
  4. Boise State (3-2)^
  5. Utah State (3-2)^
  6. Hawaii (4-2)^
  7. New Mexico (3-2)^

Pac-12:

  1. Washington State (3-2)^

SEC:

  1. Ole Miss (5-0)
  2. Texas A&M (5-0)
  3. Alabama (4-1)
  4. Missouri (5-0)
  5. Oklahoma (5-0)
  6. Georgia (4-1)
  7. LSU (4-1)
  8. Vanderbilt (5-1)
  9. Tennessee (4-1)
  10. Florida (2-3)*
  11. South Carolina (3-2)
  12. Texas (3-2)
  13. Arkansas (2-3)*
  14. Mississippi State (4-2)
  15. Auburn (3-2)
  16. Kentucky (2-3)*

Sun Belt:

  1. James Madison (4-1)*
  2. Old Dominion (4-1)*
  3. Southern Miss (3-2)^
  4. Troy (3-2)^
  5. UL Monroe (3-2)^
  6. App State (3-2)^
  7. Texas State (3-2)^

BOWL BOUND:

We have our first bowl-eligible team of 2025!  Memphis of the American conference will definitely play in a bowl game this postseason!

PLAYOFF PREDICTION:

The below are two playoff predictions. The first is based off my model's rankings and the second is my own personal opinion.

Model Prediction:

First four out:

Oklahoma, Georgia, Tennessee, LSU

First Round:
#9 Texas Tech @ #8 Alabama
#12 BYU @ #5 Oregon
#11 Georgia Tech @ #6 Texas A&M
#10 Memphis @ #7 Missouri

Byes:
#1 Ohio State
#2 Ole Miss
#3 Indiana
#4 Miami (FL)

My Prediction:

First four out:
Oklahoma, Vanderbilt, BYU, Florida State

First round:
#9 Texas A&M @ #8 Georgia
#12 Memphis @ #5 Alabama
#11 Georgia Tech #6 Texas Tech
#10 Notre Dame @ #7 Ohio State

Second round:
#9 Texas A&M vs #1 Miami (FL)
#5 Alabama vs #4 Indiana
#6 Texas Tech vs #3 Oregon
#7 Ohio State vs #2 Ole Miss

Semifinals:
#1 Miami (FL) vs #5 Alabama
#6 Texas Tech vs #7 Ohio State

National Championship:
#1 Miami (FL) vs #6 Texas Tech

National Champion: MIAMI HURRICANES

Share